I was figuring there’s 1 open hospital bed per 1000 people where I live (USA), which lets ~0.5% get infected per month. Are you sure it wasn’t 0.1% hospitalized, rather than 0.1% infected? It doesn’t really matter for this conversation, but it’s still something I’d like to know.
I think we’re largely in agreement. The question is, over a year (antivirals could be faster, fingers crossed), will people get sick of the increasingly large piles of bodies and demand more social distancing, or will they get sick of social distancing and demand less of it? Or swing back and forth each month??? It’s hard to say...
Oops, sorry confusing my Roko’s!!
I was figuring there’s 1 open hospital bed per 1000 people where I live (USA), which lets ~0.5% get infected per month. Are you sure it wasn’t 0.1% hospitalized, rather than 0.1% infected? It doesn’t really matter for this conversation, but it’s still something I’d like to know.
I think we’re largely in agreement. The question is, over a year (antivirals could be faster, fingers crossed), will people get sick of the increasingly large piles of bodies and demand more social distancing, or will they get sick of social distancing and demand less of it? Or swing back and forth each month??? It’s hard to say...