I guess one could argue that “bayesianism” (probability-as-logic) is testable practically and, indeed, well-tested by now. (But I still don’t understand how raisin proposes to reject physics in favor of probability theory or vice versa.)
But I still don’t understand how raisin proposes to reject physics in favor of probability theory or vice versa.
Well, ‘reject’ was a bad word. Physics is fine for mostly everything. What I meant was that “bayesianism” could supplement physics in areas that are hard to test like MWI, parallel universes etc. Basically what Tegmark argues here.
I guess one could argue that “bayesianism” (probability-as-logic) is testable practically and, indeed, well-tested by now.
Well, sure, the techniques based on Bayesian interpretations of probabilities (subjective or objective) work at least as well as frequentist (not EYish straw-frequentist, but actual frequentist, Kolmogorov-style), and sometimes better. And yeah, I have no idea what raisin is on about. Bayesianism is not an alternative to physics, just one of its mathematical tools.
I guess one could argue that “bayesianism” (probability-as-logic) is testable practically and, indeed, well-tested by now. (But I still don’t understand how raisin proposes to reject physics in favor of probability theory or vice versa.)
Well, ‘reject’ was a bad word. Physics is fine for mostly everything. What I meant was that “bayesianism” could supplement physics in areas that are hard to test like MWI, parallel universes etc. Basically what Tegmark argues here.
Well, sure, the techniques based on Bayesian interpretations of probabilities (subjective or objective) work at least as well as frequentist (not EYish straw-frequentist, but actual frequentist, Kolmogorov-style), and sometimes better. And yeah, I have no idea what raisin is on about. Bayesianism is not an alternative to physics, just one of its mathematical tools.