Yeah, that’s it. In case of quantum event, the probability (or indexical uncertainty) is in the territory; but in both quantum and non-quantum events, there is a probability in the map, just for different reasons.
In both cases we can use Many Worlds as a tool to visualize what those probabilities in the map mean. But in the case of non-quantum events we need to remember that there can be a better map with different probabilities.
In replying initially, I assumed that “indexical uncertainty” was a technical terms for a variable that plays the role of probability given that in fact “everything happens” in MW and therefore everything strictly has a probability of 1. However, now I have looked up “indexical uncertainty” and find that it means an observer’s uncertainty as to which branch they are in (or more generally, uncertainty about one’s position in relation to something even though one has certain knowledge of that something). That being so, I can’t see how you can describe it as being in the territory.
Incidentally, I have now added an edit to the quantum section of the OP.
I can’t see how you can describe it as being in the territory.
I probably meant that the fact that indexical uncertainty is unavoidable, is part of the territory.
You can’t make a prediction about what exactly will happen to you, because different things will happen to different versions of you (thus, if you make any prediction of a specific outcome now, some future you will observe it was wrong). This inability to predict a specific outcome feels like probability; it feels like a situation where you don’t have perfect knowledge.
So it would be proper to say that “unpredictability of a specific outcome is part of the territory”—the difference is that one model of quantum physics believes there is intrinsic randomess involved, other model believes that in fact multiple specific outcomes happen (in different branches).
Great. Incidentally, that seems a much more intelligible use of “territory” and “map” than in the Sequence claim that a Boeing 747 belongs to the map and its constituent quarks to the territory.
Yeah, that’s it. In case of quantum event, the probability (or indexical uncertainty) is in the territory; but in both quantum and non-quantum events, there is a probability in the map, just for different reasons.
In both cases we can use Many Worlds as a tool to visualize what those probabilities in the map mean. But in the case of non-quantum events we need to remember that there can be a better map with different probabilities.
In replying initially, I assumed that “indexical uncertainty” was a technical terms for a variable that plays the role of probability given that in fact “everything happens” in MW and therefore everything strictly has a probability of 1. However, now I have looked up “indexical uncertainty” and find that it means an observer’s uncertainty as to which branch they are in (or more generally, uncertainty about one’s position in relation to something even though one has certain knowledge of that something). That being so, I can’t see how you can describe it as being in the territory.
Incidentally, I have now added an edit to the quantum section of the OP.
I probably meant that the fact that indexical uncertainty is unavoidable, is part of the territory.
You can’t make a prediction about what exactly will happen to you, because different things will happen to different versions of you (thus, if you make any prediction of a specific outcome now, some future you will observe it was wrong). This inability to predict a specific outcome feels like probability; it feels like a situation where you don’t have perfect knowledge.
So it would be proper to say that “unpredictability of a specific outcome is part of the territory”—the difference is that one model of quantum physics believes there is intrinsic randomess involved, other model believes that in fact multiple specific outcomes happen (in different branches).
OK, thanks, I see no problems with that.
Great. Incidentally, that seems a much more intelligible use of “territory” and “map” than in the Sequence claim that a Boeing 747 belongs to the map and its constituent quarks to the territory.