So at least once it wasn’t downvoted for dissent or doubt
People are unreliable judges of their own motivations. Someone, however, who can reliably predict another person’s behavior is likely a reliable judge of that other person’s motivation.
Ah, you reliably predicted a single bit of behaviour (upvoted or downvoted), and from this you extrapolate a complete motivation?
Here’s how it looks to me, when I look through your entire history of posting in LessWrong: You are consistently downvoted for your attitude, not for the claims you make. In many places you say essentially the same thing as here, but you’re only downvoted only you are acting like a rude jerk or when you play pity games.
Someone, however, who can reliably predict another person’s behavior is likely a reliable judge of that other person’s motivation.
You are using the word “likely” in a manner that is inconsistent with the probability calculus.
Often times, multiple people will reliably predict that a comment will be downvoted, though each attributes a different motivation to the downvotes. They can’t all be “likely a reliable judge” of that motivation. The respective probabilities of their being correct have to sum to less than one, so all but one (at most) is probably wrong.
People are unreliable judges of their own motivations. Someone, however, who can reliably predict another person’s behavior is likely a reliable judge of that other person’s motivation.
Ah, you reliably predicted a single bit of behaviour (upvoted or downvoted), and from this you extrapolate a complete motivation?
Here’s how it looks to me, when I look through your entire history of posting in LessWrong: You are consistently downvoted for your attitude, not for the claims you make. In many places you say essentially the same thing as here, but you’re only downvoted only you are acting like a rude jerk or when you play pity games.
You are using the word “likely” in a manner that is inconsistent with the probability calculus.
Often times, multiple people will reliably predict that a comment will be downvoted, though each attributes a different motivation to the downvotes. They can’t all be “likely a reliable judge” of that motivation. The respective probabilities of their being correct have to sum to less than one, so all but one (at most) is probably wrong.