I didn’t leap to conclusions: I noted that the site worked fine on IE7 until very recently, which suggests that IE7 is not the problem. It’s a datapoint that you still don’t seem to have accounted for, considering that you’re taking its performance on other browsers to be relevant to the matter of why LW stopped working at a specific time on (at least) one browser.
(Note: as I am involved in this exchange, I’m not modding down anyone’s comments, including yours.)
Well obviously IE7 didn’t change—I’m not suggesting that it did. But it’s possible that something changed with the security settings on your work computer(s), which would cause strange things. Maybe security software was added to the computers or something.
Sure, and it’s possible something in LW’s software or dependencies changed. Both are low-probability. I’m seeking answers on my end. I’m also asking here if there were any changes on this end so that I can distinguish which one is more likely.
You have no evidence to offer that would favor one possibility over another, and yet you post anyway, and rather confidently. Why?
Well, as I’ve said, my prior for p(site issue) is fairly low. Especially given that several other people have suggested (in other browsers) that they’re seeing things fine. And I don’t mean to imply certainty. You’re correct—the only evidence I have is what has been posted in the comments here. I’m just trying to propose an alternative hypothesis, that you hadn’t seemed to consider. If you had, then I apologize for the redundancy, but you made no mention of this possibility in your OP.
Other people have said they’re seeing things fine in other browsers. Sorry. Edited for clarity.
No need. The point is, the fact that other people see things fine in other browsers (which, btw, I already knew) does not help to establish why IE7 previously worked but recently stopped, nor suggest that nothing changed on LW’s end.
The two are not mutually exclusive. And both are relevant.
No, likelihood ratios are the only concern for a Bayesian, unless I have a particular reason to put credence in your priors.
the fact that other people see things fine in other browsers (which, btw, I already knew) does not help to establish why IE7 previously worked but recently stopped, nor suggest that nothing changed on LW’s end.
In fact, it does. Unless you’re suggesting that compatibility with IE7 and other browsers is statistically independent, p(site problem | no problem in other browsers) < p(site problem | problem in other browsers). It may not be strong evidence, but it is evidence. Although, at this point, it’s moot, since your bug has been duplicated.
No, likelihood ratios are the only concern for a Bayesian, unless I have a particular reason to put credence in your priors.
I didn’t say they were relevant to the question asked, but they were relevant given the context in which they were mentioned.
And if you’re not downvoting my posts (and this isn’t meant as an accusation of lying) I’d like to know why other people are, I don’t see anything fallacious about them.
Edit: Perhaps it’s because I started writing a sentence, went off to write something else, and forgot to come back and finish it. I’ll go change that. :-)
I voted some of your comments down (as well as some of Silas’) because you seemed unnecessarily confrontational, and to a lesser extent because I disagree with your priors.
Ah, thanks for explaining. I don’t feel I was especially confrontational though, especially given Silas’s tone. Could you point out what made you feel that way?
No, for the time being, I’ll develop my own hypotheses, and not be told what to think.
But you’re just being rude at this point. I started out posting what information I had, in an attempt to be helpful. As Nesov did. And now you’re just insulting both of us. I have no intention of continuing this further.
Robert, comments like this make a step in the wrong direction, they engage on emotional level, rather than trying to understand what’s going on, they don’t break the usual pattern, and so encourage following it further. Silas is allowing his emotions to make steps in the conversation in a way that distracts from its topic, and now you do too. It’s better if at least someone in a discussion doesn’t do that, and it’s much, much better if nobody does that.
I didn’t leap to conclusions: I noted that the site worked fine on IE7 until very recently, which suggests that IE7 is not the problem. It’s a datapoint that you still don’t seem to have accounted for, considering that you’re taking its performance on other browsers to be relevant to the matter of why LW stopped working at a specific time on (at least) one browser.
(Note: as I am involved in this exchange, I’m not modding down anyone’s comments, including yours.)
Well obviously IE7 didn’t change—I’m not suggesting that it did. But it’s possible that something changed with the security settings on your work computer(s), which would cause strange things. Maybe security software was added to the computers or something.
Sure, and it’s possible something in LW’s software or dependencies changed. Both are low-probability. I’m seeking answers on my end. I’m also asking here if there were any changes on this end so that I can distinguish which one is more likely.
You have no evidence to offer that would favor one possibility over another, and yet you post anyway, and rather confidently. Why?
Well, as I’ve said, my prior for p(site issue) is fairly low. Especially given that several other people have suggested (in other browsers) that they’re seeing things fine. And I don’t mean to imply certainty. You’re correct—the only evidence I have is what has been posted in the comments here. I’m just trying to propose an alternative hypothesis, that you hadn’t seemed to consider. If you had, then I apologize for the redundancy, but you made no mention of this possibility in your OP.
Really? Who mentioned seeing the comments just fine in IE7 over the past few days, rather than yesterday but not today?
More accurately, you’re telling me your priors. I’m interested in likelihood ratios though, and you had nothing to offer on that front.
Other people have said they’re seeing things fine in other browsers. Sorry. Edited for clarity.
The two are not mutually exclusive. And both are relevant.
No need. The point is, the fact that other people see things fine in other browsers (which, btw, I already knew) does not help to establish why IE7 previously worked but recently stopped, nor suggest that nothing changed on LW’s end.
No, likelihood ratios are the only concern for a Bayesian, unless I have a particular reason to put credence in your priors.
In fact, it does. Unless you’re suggesting that compatibility with IE7 and other browsers is statistically independent, p(site problem | no problem in other browsers) < p(site problem | problem in other browsers). It may not be strong evidence, but it is evidence. Although, at this point, it’s moot, since your bug has been duplicated.
I didn’t say they were relevant to the question asked, but they were relevant given the context in which they were mentioned.
And if you’re not downvoting my posts (and this isn’t meant as an accusation of lying) I’d like to know why other people are, I don’t see anything fallacious about them.
Edit: Perhaps it’s because I started writing a sentence, went off to write something else, and forgot to come back and finish it. I’ll go change that. :-)
I voted some of your comments down (as well as some of Silas’) because you seemed unnecessarily confrontational, and to a lesser extent because I disagree with your priors.
Ah, thanks for explaining. I don’t feel I was especially confrontational though, especially given Silas’s tone. Could you point out what made you feel that way?
Nothing that would stand out as confrontational on its own, but things like describing him as “leaping to a conclusion” that add up.
As for Silas’ tone:
Since he is an (albeit high functioning) autist I’m willing to give him the benefit of doubt to some extent.
Even though I don’t think anyone was attacking him as such I can understand why he felt attacked.
As I stated I did vote several of his comments down.
No, for the time being you should probably stick with the hypothesis that it was because you were writing Nesov-style unhelpful comments.
No, for the time being, I’ll develop my own hypotheses, and not be told what to think.
But you’re just being rude at this point. I started out posting what information I had, in an attempt to be helpful. As Nesov did. And now you’re just insulting both of us. I have no intention of continuing this further.
Robert, comments like this make a step in the wrong direction, they engage on emotional level, rather than trying to understand what’s going on, they don’t break the usual pattern, and so encourage following it further. Silas is allowing his emotions to make steps in the conversation in a way that distracts from its topic, and now you do too. It’s better if at least someone in a discussion doesn’t do that, and it’s much, much better if nobody does that.
You’re right. In re-reading my comment, it wasn’t helpful. I have a tendency to engage on an emotional level when I am engaged in such a manner.
And do you know what would be even better? If posters didn’t troll frustrated users reporting bugs, esp. by making unhelpful, inconsistent remarks!