it also assumes that the two competing theories have exactly the same postulates
Er, no it doesn’t. Where are you getting this?
Where are you getting this?
From here:
I like to think of it as an extension of the conjunction fallacy; the probability of A and B being true can’t be higher than the probability of either A or B; adding new conditions can only make the probability stay the same or go down.
Er, no it doesn’t. Where are you getting this?
From here: