If, for the sake of argument, we suppose that goods that provide no benefit to humans have no value, then land in space will be less valuable than land on earth until humans settle outside of earth (which I don’t believe will happen in the next few decades).
Mining raw materials from space and using them to create value on earth is feasible, but again I’m less confident that this will happen (in an efficient-enough manner that it eliminates scarcity) in as short of a timeframe as you predict.
However, I am sympathetic to the general argument here that smart-enough AI is able to find more efficient ways of manufacturing or better approaches to obtaining plentiful energy/materials. How extreme this is will depend on “takeoff speed” which you seem to think will be faster than I do.
land in space will be less valuable than land on earth until humans settle outside of earth (which I don’t believe will happen in the next few decades).
Why would it take so long? Is this assuming no ASI?
If, for the sake of argument, we suppose that goods that provide no benefit to humans have no value, then land in space will be less valuable than land on earth until humans settle outside of earth (which I don’t believe will happen in the next few decades).
Mining raw materials from space and using them to create value on earth is feasible, but again I’m less confident that this will happen (in an efficient-enough manner that it eliminates scarcity) in as short of a timeframe as you predict.
However, I am sympathetic to the general argument here that smart-enough AI is able to find more efficient ways of manufacturing or better approaches to obtaining plentiful energy/materials. How extreme this is will depend on “takeoff speed” which you seem to think will be faster than I do.
Why would it take so long? Is this assuming no ASI?