538′s models are predictions of how the polls will change with time, so the closer to the election, the less difference there is between them, negligible in the final prediction. But if you want to see, look here. It shows predictions on the right. Near the bottom is “Trump wins popular vote.” On the left, you can choose between the three models and see that it doesn’t make a difference.
538′s models are predictions of how the polls will change with time, so the closer to the election, the less difference there is between them, negligible in the final prediction. But if you want to see, look here. It shows predictions on the right. Near the bottom is “Trump wins popular vote.” On the left, you can choose between the three models and see that it doesn’t make a difference.