Yeah, I was trying to help Harry survive the next minute with high probability, not win the war with high probability. The latter is a harder problem, and it’s not enough to have a plan that’s based on horcrux hijacking only. If I felt that horcrux hijacking might give me an actual easy win (as opposed to, say, Voldemort killing himself immediately and fighting me within the horcrux system), then I wouldn’t mention it, and say something else instead.
I amended the grandparent. Suppose for the sake of argument you agreed with my estimate of this being the proverbial “last, best hope”. Then giving away the one potentially game-changing advantage to barter for a globally insignificant “victory” would be the epitome of an overly greedy algorithm. Losing sight of the actual goal because an authority figure told you so, in a way not thinking for yourself beyond the task as stated.
Making that point sounds, on reflection, like exactly the type of thing I’d expect Eliezer to do. Do what I mean, not as I say.
as opposed to, say, Voldemort killing himself immediately and fighting me within the horcrux system
Ocupado. Assuming it was not, even Voldemort would have some sort of reaction latency to such an outside context problem. Assuming he reacted instantly, sounds like better chances than buying a few days of unconsciousness still.
Yeah, I was trying to help Harry survive the next minute with high probability, not win the war with high probability. The latter is a harder problem, and it’s not enough to have a plan that’s based on horcrux hijacking only. If I felt that horcrux hijacking might give me an actual easy win (as opposed to, say, Voldemort killing himself immediately and fighting me within the horcrux system), then I wouldn’t mention it, and say something else instead.
I amended the grandparent. Suppose for the sake of argument you agreed with my estimate of this being the proverbial “last, best hope”. Then giving away the one potentially game-changing advantage to barter for a globally insignificant “victory” would be the epitome of an overly greedy algorithm. Losing sight of the actual goal because an authority figure told you so, in a way not thinking for yourself beyond the task as stated.
Making that point sounds, on reflection, like exactly the type of thing I’d expect Eliezer to do. Do what I mean, not as I say.
Ocupado. Assuming it was not, even Voldemort would have some sort of reaction latency to such an outside context problem. Assuming he reacted instantly, sounds like better chances than buying a few days of unconsciousness still.