(1) You’re right, I got the numbers wrong. Thanks.
(2) If she knows she is somewhere along a two week path, the probabilities are different than if she knows she is somewhere along a one week path. She’s conditioning on different information in the two cases.
(1) You’re right, I got the numbers wrong. Thanks.
(2) If she knows she is somewhere along a two week path, the probabilities are different than if she knows she is somewhere along a one week path. She’s conditioning on different information in the two cases.