Why appeal to philosophical sophistication rather than lack of motivation? Humans given the power to make ancestor-simulations would create lots of interventionist sims (as is demonstrated by the populatity games like The Sims), but if the vast hypermajority of ancestor-simulations are run by unaligned AIs doing their analogue of history research, that could “drown out” the tiny minority of interventionist simulations.
That’s interesting. I don’t feel comfortable with that argument, it feels too much like random chance whether or not we should expect ourselves to be in an interventionist universe or not, whereas I feel like I should be able to find strong reasons to not be in an interventionist universe.
Now that’s fun. I need to figure out some more stuff about measure, I don’t quite get why some universes should be weighted more than others. But I think that sort of argument is probably a mistake—even if the lawful universes get more weighting for some reason, unless you also have reason to think that they don’t make simulations, there’s still loads of simulations within each of their lawful universes, setting the balance in favour of simulation again.
Why appeal to philosophical sophistication rather than lack of motivation? Humans given the power to make ancestor-simulations would create lots of interventionist sims (as is demonstrated by the populatity games like The Sims), but if the vast hypermajority of ancestor-simulations are run by unaligned AIs doing their analogue of history research, that could “drown out” the tiny minority of interventionist simulations.
That’s interesting. I don’t feel comfortable with that argument, it feels too much like random chance whether or not we should expect ourselves to be in an interventionist universe or not, whereas I feel like I should be able to find strong reasons to not be in an interventionist universe.
Alternatively, “lawful universe” has lower Kolmogorov complexity than “lawful universe plus simulator intervention” and thereore gets exponentially more measure under the universal prior?? (See also “Infinite universes and Corbinian otaku” and “The Finale of the Ultimate Meta Mega Crossover”.)
Now that’s fun. I need to figure out some more stuff about measure, I don’t quite get why some universes should be weighted more than others. But I think that sort of argument is probably a mistake—even if the lawful universes get more weighting for some reason, unless you also have reason to think that they don’t make simulations, there’s still loads of simulations within each of their lawful universes, setting the balance in favour of simulation again.