Now that’s fun. I need to figure out some more stuff about measure, I don’t quite get why some universes should be weighted more than others. But I think that sort of argument is probably a mistake—even if the lawful universes get more weighting for some reason, unless you also have reason to think that they don’t make simulations, there’s still loads of simulations within each of their lawful universes, setting the balance in favour of simulation again.
Alternatively, “lawful universe” has lower Kolmogorov complexity than “lawful universe plus simulator intervention” and thereore gets exponentially more measure under the universal prior?? (See also “Infinite universes and Corbinian otaku” and “The Finale of the Ultimate Meta Mega Crossover”.)
Now that’s fun. I need to figure out some more stuff about measure, I don’t quite get why some universes should be weighted more than others. But I think that sort of argument is probably a mistake—even if the lawful universes get more weighting for some reason, unless you also have reason to think that they don’t make simulations, there’s still loads of simulations within each of their lawful universes, setting the balance in favour of simulation again.