I can easily imagine an argument that: SBF would be safe to release in 25 years, or for that matter tomorrow, not because he’d be decent and law-abiding, but because no one would trust him and the only crimes he’s likely to (or did) commit depend on people trusting him. I’m sure this isn’t entirely true, but it does seem like being world-infamous would have to mitigate his danger quite a bit.
More generally — and bringing it back closer to the OP — I feel interested in when, and to what extent, future harms by criminals or norm-breakers can be prevented just by making sure that everyone knows their track record and can decide not to trust them.
I think having an easily-findable reputation makes it harder to do crimes, but being famous makes it easier. Many people are naive & gullible, or are themselves willing to do crime, and would like to work with him. I expect him to get opportunities for new ventures on leaving prison, with unsavory sorts.
I definitely support track-records being more findable publicly. Of course there’s some balance in that the person who publishes it has a lot of power over the person being written about, and if they exaggerate it or write it hyperbolically then they can impose a lot of inappropriate costs on the person that they’re in a bad position to push back on.
I can easily imagine an argument that: SBF would be safe to release in 25 years, or for that matter tomorrow, not because he’d be decent and law-abiding, but because no one would trust him and the only crimes he’s likely to (or did) commit depend on people trusting him. I’m sure this isn’t entirely true, but it does seem like being world-infamous would have to mitigate his danger quite a bit.
More generally — and bringing it back closer to the OP — I feel interested in when, and to what extent, future harms by criminals or norm-breakers can be prevented just by making sure that everyone knows their track record and can decide not to trust them.
I think having an easily-findable reputation makes it harder to do crimes, but being famous makes it easier. Many people are naive & gullible, or are themselves willing to do crime, and would like to work with him. I expect him to get opportunities for new ventures on leaving prison, with unsavory sorts.
I definitely support track-records being more findable publicly. Of course there’s some balance in that the person who publishes it has a lot of power over the person being written about, and if they exaggerate it or write it hyperbolically then they can impose a lot of inappropriate costs on the person that they’re in a bad position to push back on.