I think most people pushing for a pause are trying to push against a ‘selective pause’ and for an actual pause that would apply to the big labs who are at the forefront of progress. I agree with you, however, that the current overton window seems unfortunately centered around some combination of evals-and-mitigations that is at IMO high risk of regulatory capture (i.e. resulting in a selective pause that doesn’t apply to the big corporations that most need to pause!) My disillusionment about this is part of why I left OpenAI.
I think most people pushing for a pause are trying to push against a ‘selective pause’ and for an actual pause that would apply to the big labs who are at the forefront of progress. I agree with you, however, that the current overton window seems unfortunately centered around some combination of evals-and-mitigations that is at IMO high risk of regulatory capture (i.e. resulting in a selective pause that doesn’t apply to the big corporations that most need to pause!) My disillusionment about this is part of why I left OpenAI.