You’re wrong about the religious issue. As I’ve stated many times, including in that discussion, the problem is that there are two meanings of “believe” and people unhelpfully equivocate between them. Here they are:
1) “I believe X” = “My internal predictive model of reality includes X.”
2) “I believe X” = “I affiliate with people who profess, ‘I believe X’ ” (no, it’s not as circular as it looks)
Put simply, most people DO NOT believe(1) in the absurd claims of religions, they just believe(2) them. Or at least, they act very suspiciously like they believe(2) rather than believe(1). If they believed(1), they would spend every waking moment exactly as their religion instructs.
If they believed(1), they would spend every waking moment exactly as their religion instructs.
That’s too strong a claim and doesn’t factor akrasia in; you might as well say that you don’t really believe in the seriousness of existential risks if you don’t spend every waking moment working against them.
You can, however, make distinctions between people who will make decisions that they know would be extremely suboptimal if their professed belief was false, and people who only do just enough to signal their belief.
It’s going to be a continuum from belief(1) to belief(2), not a binary attribute; but it’s still a very important concept and not yet one that the English language groks.
That’s too strong a claim and doesn’t factor akrasia in; you might as well say that you don’t really believe in the seriousness of existential risks if you don’t spend every waking moment working against them. [...]
Okay, fair point. My claim was too strong and I accept your modification. Still, existential risks still permit me finite remaining life, which still keeps its utility very very far from that of eternal torture espoused by some religions.
a very important concept and not yet one that the English language groks.
having achieved [at least a semblance of] fluency only in English thus far, I am at this moment very curious as to any assessment of what language(s) do(es) grok such a concept?
You’re wrong about the religious issue. As I’ve stated many times, including in that discussion, the problem is that there are two meanings of “believe” and people unhelpfully equivocate between them. Here they are:
1) “I believe X” = “My internal predictive model of reality includes X.”
2) “I believe X” = “I affiliate with people who profess, ‘I believe X’ ” (no, it’s not as circular as it looks)
Put simply, most people DO NOT believe(1) in the absurd claims of religions, they just believe(2) them. Or at least, they act very suspiciously like they believe(2) rather than believe(1). If they believed(1), they would spend every waking moment exactly as their religion instructs.
1) “I’m a rationalist” = “I honestly apply the art of rationality every waking moment”
2) “I’m a rationalist” = “I make comments on Less Wrong and think Eliezer Yudkowsky is pretty cool”
I’d be a pretty sucky rationalist if I didn’t get an itchy feeling when I hear a false dichotomy. Therefore, let’s try some other options:
3) “I’m a rationalist” = “I earnestly try to be more rational than I would otherwise be.”
4) “I’m a rationalist” = “I think that syllogisms are pretty neat, and I’m really good at proving that Socrates is mortal. ;-)”
Dude’s dead. QED.
No, dude, the correct answer is “because he is a man!”
As a transhumanist, that does not follow.
I’m pretty sure I’m a rationalist(4). I am really good at that.
I’m a rationalist(2). I’m just here because it’s fun. ;)
You win rationality(1) points for being honest with yourself :).
3) I put a lot of effort into number-crunching optimal ways of realising my values, and very little into worrying wether they are the right ones.
That’s too strong a claim and doesn’t factor akrasia in; you might as well say that you don’t really believe in the seriousness of existential risks if you don’t spend every waking moment working against them.
You can, however, make distinctions between people who will make decisions that they know would be extremely suboptimal if their professed belief was false, and people who only do just enough to signal their belief.
It’s going to be a continuum from belief(1) to belief(2), not a binary attribute; but it’s still a very important concept and not yet one that the English language groks.
Okay, fair point. My claim was too strong and I accept your modification. Still, existential risks still permit me finite remaining life, which still keeps its utility very very far from that of eternal torture espoused by some religions.
having achieved [at least a semblance of] fluency only in English thus far, I am at this moment very curious as to any assessment of what language(s) do(es) grok such a concept?
Dunno, but note that whereas “I believe X” can mean either, “I think that X” seldom means 2.
A related phenomenon—one which often motivates belief(2) - is belief in belief.
(4) I behave like Sheldon Lee Cooper, sharing all his tastes and values.