How does he estimate this probability? Does he say?
Kind of—see my response quoting the book, above.
I’m not aware of an explicit probability estimate by EY but EY did speak in the post about doubling the chance from 0.x% as a baseline.
How does he estimate this probability? Does he say?
Kind of—see my response quoting the book, above.
I’m not aware of an explicit probability estimate by EY but EY did speak in the post about doubling the chance from 0.x% as a baseline.