In an article proclaiming the transcendent use of complicated, modern statistics in baseball, and in particular, one called “WAR” (wins above replacement):
I’m not a mathematician and I’m not a scientist. I’m a guy who tries to understand baseball with common sense. In this era, that means embracing advanced metrics that I don’t really understand. That should make me a little uncomfortable, and it does. WAR is a crisscrossed mess of routes leading toward something that, basically, I have to take on faith.
And faith is irrational and anti-intellectual, right? Faith is for rain dances and sun gods, for spirituality but not science. Actually, no. Faith is how we organize a complicated modern world. Faith is what you have when your doctor walks in with a syringe filled with something that could be anything and tells you that it’ll keep you from getting the measles. Unless you’re a doctor or a medical scientist, you don’t really understand vaccines, and you certainly can’t brew one up at home. You have outsourced the intellectual side of your health to people who, your faith reassures you, are smarter than you. Maybe in one way of looking at it you’re not as smart as your great-great-great-grandparents were, because they had to take responsibility for cooking their own medicine. But you’ll live longer. The complicated nature of WAR, your inability to touch the guts of it, isn’t an argument against it. That’s just what human advancement looks like in the 21st century. And if you can accept that you can walk into a tube built out of 100 tons of aluminum, fly seven miles off the ground and land safely thousands of miles away, you can accept WAR.
I downvoted for equivocating between faith and probability.
A doctor walking in with a syringe full of something that he says will prevent measles I would assign a much higher probability to being true than Bob from the car mechanic walking in with a syringe full of strange liquid that Bob says will prevent measles.
I’m not really sure that counts as faith. Faith usually implies something like “believing something without concern for evidence”. And in fact, the evidence I have fairly strongly indicates is that when I step into an airplane, I’m not going to die.
As I recall, CS Lewis once defined it as “believing something based on the evidence/logic in the face of irrational doubt” (paraphrased.) I’ve always preferred that meaning myself, as it retains the positive connotations. Presumably what you describe would be “blind faith”.
I’m not really sure that counts as faith. Faith usually implies something like “believing something without concern for evidence”. And in fact, the evidence I have fairly strongly indicates is that when I step into an airplane, I’m not going to die.
Which of the seven models of faith do you think “believing something without concern for evidence” would fall under?
In an article proclaiming the transcendent use of complicated, modern statistics in baseball, and in particular, one called “WAR” (wins above replacement):
I downvoted for equivocating between faith and probability.
A doctor walking in with a syringe full of something that he says will prevent measles I would assign a much higher probability to being true than Bob from the car mechanic walking in with a syringe full of strange liquid that Bob says will prevent measles.
Essentially this seems like the fallacy of gray.
I’m not really sure that counts as faith. Faith usually implies something like “believing something without concern for evidence”. And in fact, the evidence I have fairly strongly indicates is that when I step into an airplane, I’m not going to die.
As I recall, CS Lewis once defined it as “believing something based on the evidence/logic in the face of irrational doubt” (paraphrased.) I’ve always preferred that meaning myself, as it retains the positive connotations. Presumably what you describe would be “blind faith”.
-- C.S. Lewis
Which of the seven models of faith do you think “believing something without concern for evidence” would fall under?