Searching for obvious anomalous data reveals there is likely one data-munging SCP and checking surrounding entries narrows its id to a very small range.
Checking for missing SCPs reveals the id of the above anomaly. Truncating data past various times suggests that the foundation finds and numbers SCPs in numerical order, at some point SCPs become inaccessible perhaps by destruction or superb lockdown or otherwise, at some point (how?) MCD becomes aware of them, and randomly (how?) known available SCPs are potentials during each quarter.
(Very WIP) checking for teams sent, seems very variable? But generally at least 2 of each? But not quite always? But now I’m suspicious that some of our data has been erased?
Next steps: evaluate teams sent for patterns and in particular missing teams. Model finding and losing access to SCPs. Figure out how we allocated teams in the past, otherwise acquisition and profit will be (?) unacceptably selection biased. I guess maybe at some point try to figure out how likely various acquisitions and profits will be and what to do about the incentives. ;)
I didn’t make much progress on next steps. There does seem to be a large time-dependency on perf, so probably MCD is going through allocators pretty fast :( or maybe certain teams are really good at what they do and stick around?
Notes on found & todos:
Data cleanup reveals everyone is super sinister.
Searching for obvious anomalous data reveals there is likely one data-munging SCP and checking surrounding entries narrows its id to a very small range.
Checking for missing SCPs reveals the id of the above anomaly. Truncating data past various times suggests that the foundation finds and numbers SCPs in numerical order, at some point SCPs become inaccessible perhaps by destruction or superb lockdown or otherwise, at some point (how?) MCD becomes aware of them, and randomly (how?) known available SCPs are potentials during each quarter.
(Very WIP) checking for teams sent, seems very variable? But generally at least 2 of each? But not quite always? But now I’m suspicious that some of our data has been erased?
Next steps: evaluate teams sent for patterns and in particular missing teams. Model finding and losing access to SCPs. Figure out how we allocated teams in the past, otherwise acquisition and profit will be (?) unacceptably selection biased. I guess maybe at some point try to figure out how likely various acquisitions and profits will be and what to do about the incentives. ;)
I didn’t make much progress on next steps. There does seem to be a large time-dependency on perf, so probably MCD is going through allocators pretty fast :( or maybe certain teams are really good at what they do and stick around?
My solutions. Probably won’t get any reasonable chance to revise them.
Plan: become invaluable, see more data, find a way to escape eventually.
Legal, SCP-1282
Legal, SCP-2122
Legal, SCP-4370
Paramilitary, SCP-3212
Paramilitary, SCP-3936
Paramilitary, SCP-4834
Infiltration, SCP-4449
Infiltration, SCP-3273
Infiltration, SCP-1466
Plan: poison MCD against ever using “data driven” approaches.
Legal, SCP-3781
Legal, SCP-4036
Legal, SCP-2626
Paramilitary, SCP-1838
Paramilitary, SCP-2116
Paramilitary, SCP-3577
Infiltration, SCP-3279
Infiltration, SCP-2178
Infiltration, SCP-4654
Plan: try to escape, but try to be valuable given my immediate escape desires.
Legal, SCP-1282
Legal, SCP-4370
Legal, SCP-3936
Paramilitary, SCP-2883
Paramilitary, SCP-2797
Paramilitary, SCP-4004
Infiltration, SCP-3668
Infiltration, SCP-4931
Infiltration, SCP-5117
It looks like your second ‘poison’ plan sends two teams (one Legal and one Infiltration) after the same SCP.
:chagrin:
I have replaced the first legal team target with a… legal target.
Method, sadly, was just:
clean the data
compute smoothed fraction of acquisitions per attempts for each team type given set values for two tags; average over all pairs of set values
same but mean profit given successful acquisition
handpick best expected profit, worst expected profit, and best expected profit for infohazards that seem maybe useful or volatile