I didn’t mean to say no attack existed, only that I don’t have one ready. I can program okay and have spent enough time reading about AGI to see how the field is floundering.
What you are saying in the last sentence is that you estimate that there unlikely to be an attack for some time, which is a much stronger statement than “only that I don’t have one ready”, and actually is a probabilistic statement that no attack exists (“I didn’t mean to say no attack existed”). This statement feeds into the estimate that marginal value of investment in search for such an attack is very low at this time.
What you are saying in the last sentence is that you estimate that there unlikely to be an attack for some time, which is a much stronger statement than “only that I don’t have one ready”, and actually is a probabilistic statement that no attack exists (“I didn’t mean to say no attack existed”). This statement feeds into the estimate that marginal value of investment in search for such an attack is very low at this time.