I don’t presume to tell people what they should care about, and if you feel that thinking of such numbers and probabilities gives you a way to guide your decisions then that’s great.
I would say that, given how much humanity changed in the past and increasing rate of change, probably almost none of us could realistically predict the impact of our actions more than a couple of decades to the future. (Doesn’t mean we don’t try- the institution I work for is more than 350 years old and does try to manage its endowment with a view towards the indefinite future…)
I don’t presume to tell people what they should care about, and if you feel that thinking of such numbers and probabilities gives you a way to guide your decisions then that’s great.
I would say that, given how much humanity changed in the past and increasing rate of change, probably almost none of us could realistically predict the impact of our actions more than a couple of decades to the future. (Doesn’t mean we don’t try- the institution I work for is more than 350 years old and does try to manage its endowment with a view towards the indefinite future…)