One application of this might be for the FLI, and where they decide to grant the money they’ve received from Elon Musk. In addition to other considerations, it seems the correct conclusion from your paper would be not to underestimate the value of funding research aimed at AI-soon scenarios, as well as fund it because it could create a research environment that makes a greater quantity and quality of research on even AI-later scenarios. Whatever ratio of funding for either scenario they decide works isn’t as useless if nobody can discern what counts as AI-soon vs. AI-later research.
One application of this might be for the FLI, and where they decide to grant the money they’ve received from Elon Musk. In addition to other considerations, it seems the correct conclusion from your paper would be not to underestimate the value of funding research aimed at AI-soon scenarios, as well as fund it because it could create a research environment that makes a greater quantity and quality of research on even AI-later scenarios. Whatever ratio of funding for either scenario they decide works isn’t as useless if nobody can discern what counts as AI-soon vs. AI-later research.