China can downplay things for a week or two but this fails quickly in the face of exponentials. If they hit 70k and pretend they didn’t, they then hit 200k and then 400k and then can’t pretend.
I understand you say these are large numbers, but I don’t know what signal we can expect to see if they can’t contain the outbreak. Number of travelers from China that need isolating?
Or do you expect that the number of deaths will be considerably high?
Link didn’t work.
China can downplay things for a week or two but this fails quickly in the face of exponentials. If they hit 70k and pretend they didn’t, they then hit 200k and then 400k and then can’t pretend.
I was doubtful, now I stand corrected.
Oops, link fixed, here it is again for convenience.
I understand you say these are large numbers, but I don’t know what signal we can expect to see if they can’t contain the outbreak. Number of travelers from China that need isolating?
Or do you expect that the number of deaths will be considerably high?