What, in your mind, makes Omicron hopeless to stop in China? Omicron doesn’t seem to be much more infectious among the unvaccinated than previous strains, and they did manage to wipe out the original Wuhan strain completely within their borders.
The Wuhan strain is the one before the Greek alphabet. Alpha was more infectious, then Delta even more. Omicron is comparable to Delta, so still a lot more infectious than the Wuhan strain.
True, but none of these variants made it in China either, and vaccines could only have helped stopping Delta due to timing. Sinovac is also much less effective even for Delta. Maybe China has run out of dakka and Omicron will be the final straw, but it is far from obvious imo (especially considering China has been able to keep its economy running normally all this time).
If China does break though, this will be an important datapoint for future biodefense. It roughly represents how much infectiousness humanity can handle at most if it got really, really serious.
What, in your mind, makes Omicron hopeless to stop in China? Omicron doesn’t seem to be much more infectious among the unvaccinated than previous strains, and they did manage to wipe out the original Wuhan strain completely within their borders.
The Wuhan strain is the one before the Greek alphabet. Alpha was more infectious, then Delta even more. Omicron is comparable to Delta, so still a lot more infectious than the Wuhan strain.
True, but none of these variants made it in China either, and vaccines could only have helped stopping Delta due to timing. Sinovac is also much less effective even for Delta. Maybe China has run out of dakka and Omicron will be the final straw, but it is far from obvious imo (especially considering China has been able to keep its economy running normally all this time).
If China does break though, this will be an important datapoint for future biodefense. It roughly represents how much infectiousness humanity can handle at most if it got really, really serious.