Now you’re moving goalposts. Of course you can find places that didn’t need lockdowns. I thought your position was that lockdowns were almost never/nowhere worth it. If your position is just “some locations didn’t need lockdown (e.g., the ones where governments decided not to do it)” – that’s extremely different. Whether lockdowns make sense is to be assessed case-by-case, because the virus (and new variants of concern) affected different locations differently.
In your other comment, you attribute a claim to me that I haven’t made (“you have provided zero support for your own claim that lockdowns do more good than harm”). All I did was saying that I’m already skeptical since you were making the opposite claim with extremely poor and flawed arguments; I didn’t sayI confidently disagreed with your conclusion. Pointing out the favorable mention of Ioannnidis’s 0.15% IFR estimate isn’t “nitpicking of your evidence.” It’s damning that you rely on a source that does this – it’s off by a factor of three to seven. After more than a year of the pandemic, you simply cannot be off about the IFR by this much without looking quite poorly. If someone (the person you were citing/recommending) writes an entire report on how bad lockdowns are but thinks the virus is at least three times less deadly than it actually is, this person seems incompetent and I cannot trust their reasoning enough to buy into the conclusion.
Now you’re moving goalposts. Of course you can find places that didn’t need lockdowns. I thought your position was that lockdowns were almost never/nowhere worth it. If your position is just “some locations didn’t need lockdown (e.g., the ones where governments decided not to do it)” – that’s extremely different. Whether lockdowns make sense is to be assessed case-by-case, because the virus (and new variants of concern) affected different locations differently.
In your other comment, you attribute a claim to me that I haven’t made (“you have provided zero support for your own claim that lockdowns do more good than harm”). All I did was saying that I’m already skeptical since you were making the opposite claim with extremely poor and flawed arguments; I didn’t say I confidently disagreed with your conclusion. Pointing out the favorable mention of Ioannnidis’s 0.15% IFR estimate isn’t “nitpicking of your evidence.” It’s damning that you rely on a source that does this – it’s off by a factor of three to seven. After more than a year of the pandemic, you simply cannot be off about the IFR by this much without looking quite poorly. If someone (the person you were citing/recommending) writes an entire report on how bad lockdowns are but thinks the virus is at least three times less deadly than it actually is, this person seems incompetent and I cannot trust their reasoning enough to buy into the conclusion.
I will drop out of this discussion now.