The Doomsday Argument does not depend on any empirical evidence. It is a pure logic deduction. So even if we consider the typical x-risks threatening our existence: climate change, AI boom, nuclear war, etc thus think our doom is probably coming soon. It still cannot be used as evidence favoring the Doomsday argument. Because if the Argument is true, we should expect our extinction is even more imminent, on top of all the x-risks considered.
We could test Doomsday argument on other things, like Gott has tested it on broadway shows. For example, I can predict that your birthday is not 1 of January with high confidence. It is also true for my birthday date, which is randomly selected from all dates of the year. So despite my “who I am” axiom, my external properties are distributed randomly.
The Doomsday Argument does not depend on any empirical evidence. It is a pure logic deduction. So even if we consider the typical x-risks threatening our existence: climate change, AI boom, nuclear war, etc thus think our doom is probably coming soon. It still cannot be used as evidence favoring the Doomsday argument. Because if the Argument is true, we should expect our extinction is even more imminent, on top of all the x-risks considered.
We could test Doomsday argument on other things, like Gott has tested it on broadway shows. For example, I can predict that your birthday is not 1 of January with high confidence. It is also true for my birthday date, which is randomly selected from all dates of the year. So despite my “who I am” axiom, my external properties are distributed randomly.