I (of course?) buy that emissions don’t matter in short term
Emissions don’t matter in the long term, ASI can reshape the climate (if Earth is not disassembled outright). They might matter before ASI, especially if there is an AI Pause. Which I think is still a non-negligible possibility if there is a recoverable scare at some point; probably not otherwise. Might be enforceable by international treaty through hobbling semiconductor manufacturing, if AI of that time still needs significant compute to adapt and advance.
Emissions don’t matter in the long term, ASI can reshape the climate (if Earth is not disassembled outright). They might matter before ASI, especially if there is an AI Pause. Which I think is still a non-negligible possibility if there is a recoverable scare at some point; probably not otherwise. Might be enforceable by international treaty through hobbling semiconductor manufacturing, if AI of that time still needs significant compute to adapt and advance.
Yeah oops, meant long