I think the idea is that in general they are good at doing things that are in their self-interest, and since they don’t currently think AI is an existential threat, they should think it’s in their self-interest to make AGI if possible, and if it is possible, they should be able to recognise that since the relevant expertise in AI and AI forecasting is something they can acquire.
To be honest, I don’t put much stock in this argument, which is why I’m asking this question.
I think the idea is that in general they are good at doing things that are in their self-interest, and since they don’t currently think AI is an existential threat, they should think it’s in their self-interest to make AGI if possible, and if it is possible, they should be able to recognise that since the relevant expertise in AI and AI forecasting is something they can acquire.
To be honest, I don’t put much stock in this argument, which is why I’m asking this question.