EY: “I am amazed at how many commenters entirely ignore this issue, which was explicitly the whole focus of my original post.”
It’s very difficult really to answer this issue. I think that yes, if we hand’t come to use nuclear wheapons, if we were living in a nuclear-free world, it would certainly be safer.
However, don’t forget.. it’s not the wheapons that kill people, but the people who use them. This war is a clear demonstration that people are unable to resolve issues rationally and in a civilized manner all of the time.
So I think your question should really be ‘would we be capable of living in a world without such threats’? And my answer to that question is no. Power has too much appleal to people. History doens’t teach us enough. Humanity often comes second.
That is unless we change, this world will never be that safe. No matter what wheapons are available. That’s why teaching history in schools is so important. It allows us to learn from our mistakes and change.
So human brains are themselves models of reality.
Do you have a deterministic view of the world, i.e. believe reality is there, independently of our existence or of our interactions with it?
Have you ever wondered what is information, at the physical level.. what is it that our brains are actually modelling?