It was considerably easier before the Dunblane massacre (1996).
topynate
Karma: 576
That very much depends on what you choose to regard as the ‘true nature’ of the AI. In other words we’re flirting with reification fallacy by regarding the AI as a whole as ‘living on the blockchain’, or even being ‘driven’ by the blockchain. It’s important to fix in mind what makes the blockchain important to such an AI and to its autonomy. This, I believe, is always the financial aspect. The on-blockchain process is autonomous precisely because it can directly control resources; it loses autonomy in so far as its control of resources no longer fulfils its goals. If you wish, you can consider the part of the AI which verifies correct computation and interfaces with ‘financial reality’ as being its real locus of selfhood, but bear in mind that even the goal description/fulfilment logic can be zero-knowledge proofed and so exist off-chain. From my perspective, the on-chain component of such an AI looks a lot more like a combination of robotic arm and error-checking module.
That was pretty good, thanks.
There’s an asymptotic approximation in the OEIS: a(n) ~ n!2^(n(n-1)/2)/(M*p^n), with M and p constants. So log(a(n)) = O(n^2), as opposed to log(2^n) = O(n), log(n!) = O(n log(n)), log(n^n) = O(n log(n)).
I want a training session in Unrestrained Pessimism.
As someone who moved to Israel at the age of 25 with very minimal Hebrew (almost certainly worse than yours), went to an ulpan for five months and then served in the IDF for 18 months while somehow avoiding the 3 month language course I certainly should have been placed in based on my middle-of-ulpan level of fluency:
Ulpan (not army ulpan, real ulpan) is actually pretty good at doing what it’s supposed to. I had a great time—it depends on the ulpan but I haven’t heard of a single one that would be psychologically damaging. Perhaps your experience with a less intensive system as a minor has coloured your views? I know that I got put off Hebrew by the quality of teaching I had around the age of 11-13. I’m not sure if you could get benefits to do a free course (it would depend on your status) but that would certainly take off the pressure to learn Hebrew quickly. You’d have to delay your draft date, which is usually possible.
‘Army ulpan’ is, according to my friends, a bit of a joke, but that’s three months you’d be with a bunch of Anglos, being taught by 19 year old girls, and going on semi-regular day trips, which is fun, rather than jumping straight into basic training, which sucks. It’s also three months less time being bored to tears at the end of your service doing the same thing you’ve been doing the last two years.
You can’t learn spoken Hebrew by reading. No way. Not only do you need grammatical knowledge to know which vowels should be used, but the spoken and written forms become quite divergent above the most basic level. You need to speak and hear Hebrew for most of the day, every day—which could be a pretty lonely experience in the US. Think Hebrew pop music, armed with a copy of the lyrics and the translation. Learn the songs and what they mean—it’s just repetition—and you’ll automatically pick up the most common vocabulary. Hebrew grammar isn’t that hard for an English speaker, the verb conjugation is traditionally considered the hard part, and that’s mostly just memorization. Genders are a pain but not knowing the gender of a word won’t impair comprehension if you guess wrongly.
Then perhaps my assessment was mistaken! But in any case, I wasn’t referring to the broad idea of cryonics patients ending up in deathcubes, but of their becoming open-access in an exploitative society—c.f. the Egan short.
My attempt at a reply turned into an essay, which I’ve posted here.
It is likely that you would not wish for your brain-state to be available to all-and-sundry, subjecting you to the possibility of being simulated according to their whims. However, you know nothing about the ethics of the society that will exist when the technology to extract and run your brain-state is developed. Thus you are taking a risk of a negative outcome that may be less attractive to you than mere non-existence.
The article is crap but referring to the sample size without considering the baseline success rate is misleading. If, say, the task were to be creating a billion dollar company, and the treated group had even one success, then that would be quite serious evidence for an effect, just because of how rare success is.
I can’t find it by search, but haven’t you stated that you’ve written hundreds of KLOC?
The front page is, in my opinion, pretty terrible. The centre is filled with static content, the promoted posts are barely deserving of the title, and any dynamic content loads several seconds after the rest of the page, even though the titles of posts could be cached and loaded far more quickly.
This is analogous to zero determinant strategies in the iterated prisoner’s dilemma, posted on LW last year. In the IPD, there are certain ranges of payoffs for which one player can enforce a linear relationship between his payoff and that of his opponent. That relationship may be extortionate, i.e. such that the second player gains most by always cooperating, but less than her opponent.
Yet another article on the terribleness of schools as they exist today. It strikes me that Methods of Rationality is in large part a fantasy of good education. So is the Harry Potter/Sherlock Holmes crossover I just started reading. Alicorn’s Radiance is a fair fit to the pattern as well, in that it depicts rapid development of a young character by incredible new experiences. So what solutions are coming out of the rational community? What concrete criteria would we like to see satisfied? Can education be ‘solved’ in a way that will sell outside this community?
I doubt he can Transfigure antimatter. If he can, the containment will be very hard to get right, and he would absolutely have to get it right. How do you even stop it blowing up your wand, if you have to contact the material you’re Transfiguring?
Maybe Tazers! They’d work against some shields, are quite tricky to make, and if you want lots of them they’re easier to buy. Other things: encrypted radios, Kevlar armour (to avoid Finite Incantem). Most things that can be bought for 5K could have been bought in Britain in the early 90s, apart from that sort of paramilitary gear. Guns are unlikely because the twins would have heard of them.
If he can make a model rocket, he can make a uranium gun design. It’s one slightly sub-critical mass of uranium with a suitable hole for the second piece, which is shaped like a bullet and fired at it using a single unsynchronised electronic trigger down a barrel long enough to get up a decent speed. Edit: And then he or a friendly 7th year casts a charm of flawless function on it.
Was I alone in expecting something on recursive self improvement?
Perhaps gewunnen, meaning conquered, and not gewunen. I don’t think you can use present subjunctive after béo anyway. Here béo is almost surely the 3rd person singular subjunctive of béon, the verb that we know as to be. If gewunnen, then we can interpret it as being the past participle, which makes a lot more sense (and fits the provided translation). The past participle of gewunian is gewunod, which clearly isn’t the word used here.
Edit: translator’s automatic conjugation is broken, sorry for copy-paste.
Aha! The prophecy we just heard in chapter 96 is Old English. However, by the 1200s, when, according to canon, the Peverell brothers were born, we’re well into Middle English (which Harry might well understand on first hearing). I was beginning to wonder if there was not some old wizard or witch listening, for whom that prophecy was intended.
There’s still the problem of why brothers with an Anglo-Norman surname would have Old English as a mother tongue… well, that could happen rather easily with a Norman father and English mother, I suppose.
And the coincidence of Canon!Ignotus Peverell being born in 1214, the estimated year of Roger Bacon’s birth, seemed significant too… I shall have to go back over the chapters referring to his diary.
The first image is a dead hotlink. It’s in the internet archive and I’ve uploaded it to imgur.