I’m the naive causal decision theorist in response to the Smoking Lesion case. I just do not grok the intuition for not smoking in that world. Anyone want to try and change my mind?
(edit: not sure it makes sense to “grok” intuitions because they might not have content in that way. Maybe I mean I don’t “have” it)
Ah that’s helpful. I remember being frustrated hearing about it in an 80K episode with Joe Carlsmith, where (to my memory) it was an example which was supposed to show you that naive decision theory (where it doesn’t matter whether you smoke or not, because you either have or don’t have the lesion already) is insufficient.