Sonder_Wand

• Sonder_Wand 12 Apr 2015 22:25 UTC

  −3 points

  in reply to: Good_Burning_Plastic’s comment on: Con­junc­tion Fallacy

  The answers provided there seem not to be relevant to the objection I raised.

• Sonder_Wand 12 Apr 2015 4:19 UTC

  0 points

  on: Con­junc­tion Fallacy

  Is this really a fallacy? In the USSR and Poland case, we might take the probability space in (1) to exclude an invasion of Poland, and the space in (2) to include one. Then the claims are perfectly consistent, since the probability space changes; people just reason with respect to “stereotypical” alternatives.