Fiat lux.
I mostly import old sequences from others, organise the Berlin AI alignment meetup, and participate in other Berlin events.
Fiat lux.
I mostly import old sequences from others, organise the Berlin AI alignment meetup, and participate in other Berlin events.
One argument for infra-Bayesianism is that Bayesianism has some disadvantages (like performing badly in nonrealizable settings). The existing examples in this post are decision theory examples: Bayesianism + CDT performing worse than infra-Bayesianism.
(And if Bayesianism + CDT perform badly, why not choose Bayesianism + UDT? Or is the advantage just that infra-Bayesianism is more beautiful?)
Are there non-decision-theory examples that highlight the advantage of infra-Bayesianism over Bayesianism? That is, cases in which infra-Bayesianism leads to “better beliefs” than Bayesianism, without necessarily taking actions? Or is the yardstick for beliefs here that the agent receives higher reward, and everything else is irrelevant?
There used to be an SSC/ACX group in Munich that I organized, maybe shoot a mail to ssc_munich@lists.posteo.de to see if anyone responds? (Might take a day or so since I will have to approve you as a sender).
If anything fails, there is a very lovely EA group in Munich that I participated in :-) Information here.
The meetup is now cancelled, sorry for the confusion.