slatestarcodex being contra hanson on healthcare
That case (I didn’t follow the others) seemed like it was mostly about confusion over what Hanson’s position even is. Maybe because Hanson and/or people misunderstanding him tried to compress it into short tweets.
There was a correction: this should be half a million gallons.
But how can you know that? Couldn’t there be actual insider sources truthfully reporting the existence of such discussions?
Yes, I perhaps should have said “I think there is a 99% chance this is made up”. As a general rule, I think any politically charged story based on “anonymous insider sources” should be considered very low credibility, and if there is no other support, then a 90+ chance of being made up is about right. More credibility points lost in this case for the only source being a tweet from a guy who seems to be advertising some kind of passport acquisition service.
There can simultaneously be an crisis of immigration of poor people and a crisis of emigration of rich people.
The tweet’s screenshot doesn’t seem to be talking about rich people in particular being the ones leaving (which I think is usually termed “capital flight”; that is, the money leaving is more important than the people).
Canada also is looking to impose a $25k penalty and double its ‘exit fee’ for citizens who leave the country, to ‘curb the emigration crisis.’
This is made up, apparently.
https://thezvi.substack.com/p/monthly-roundup-18-may-2024/comment/56269684
https://www.yahoo.com/news/users-spread-unfounded-claims-impending-163724801.html
Recent headlines are about too much immigration (e.g., https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-canada-stuck-in-population-trap-needs-to-reduce-immigration-bank/), so ‘emigration crisis’ doesn’t make much sense.
Unless you also think the United States is an outlier in terms of spouses who don’t unconditionally love each other, I guess you have to endorse something like Kaj_Sotala’s point that divorce isn’t always the same as ending love though, right?
probably the majority of spouses unconditionally love their partners.
How do you square this with ~50% of marriages ending in divorce?
a good trade for immunity to cavities and gum disease.
If you throw in immunity to bad breath
FYI, https://www.luminaprobiotic.com/faq says used to say
This strain doesn’t do anything to protect against gum disease, or bad breath.
And he thinks Hermes 2 Pro is ‘cracked for agentic function calling,’
I don’t understand what the word ‘cracked’ means here; “broken” or “super awesome” or …?
persuade/inspire/motivate/stimulate etc is just the politically correct way of saying what it actual is, which is manipulation.
Persuade has a fairly neutral connotation for me, that is “I was persuaded to give 10k to a scammer” and “I was persuaded by a friend to quit my day job” both seem correct to me. I would nominate that as the word for describing what it “actually” is, rather than “manipulation” which seems overly negative/cynical.
I think anorexia is in a different category because the patient often doesn’t want to get better. David Burns talks about it a little on https://feelinggood.com/2019/11/25/168-ask-david-the-blushing-cure-how-to-heal-a-broken-heart-treating-anorexia-and-more/, where he mentions that some sort of therapy with a 50% success rate is good.
The rapid cure stuff is mainly about depression and anxiety disorders, I guess agoraphobia should count (with the caveat that the patient has to be well enough to reach the therapist’s office). Certainly whether it “could take years” is the crux of the matter; David Burns very much denies it should ever take nearly that long.
David Burns also has his own podcast, many episodes of which are example live sessions of this rapid cure (see https://feelinggood.com/list-of-feeling-good-podcasts/ and search for “live therapy”, or https://feelinggood.com/podcast-database/ which has a fancy Javascript interface allowing filtering on tags).
He does often make the explicit claim on his podcast, that 90% of patients can be cured in one or two sessions (plus one more for “relapse prevention”). It’s a bit hard to know how much of this is from a selection effect on the patients though. I’m pretty sure I recall him also mentioning that he only treats (people studying to be) therapists for liability reasons now that he doesn’t have an active clinical practice with insurance. And I think when he had on one of the app developers, they mentioned in passing that they had discussed some social anxiety issues, but it sounded like there wasn’t any dramatic breakthrough on that.
Anyone knows a psychologist like that?
I don’t personally, but you could check out https://www.feelinggoodinstitute.com/, they say “Expect meaningful change within five therapy sessions”; I assume that means five 1 hour sessions and probably one 2 hour session is more effective than two 1 hour sessions (due to time wasted on recalling previous context, breaking flow, etc).
A big part of understanding the culture of futility is understanding how traumatic it is when the bad guys win. When SBF, the Luke Skywalker of crypto, and CZ, the Darth Vader of crypto, go head to head and CZ emerges victorious. Then CZ says “Ha! serves you right for being an idiotic do-gooder” and everyone cheers.
Didn’t we actually learn that they were both bad guys? I find this example confusing.
I was kind of surprised by this too; I found this study which seems to support it though: https://theconversation.com/we-studied-what-happens-when-guys-add-their-cats-to-their-dating-app-profiles-144999
In our study, we recruited 1,388 heterosexual American women from 18 to 24 years old to take a short anonymous online survey[...] Most of the women found the men holding cats to be less dateable. This result surprised us, since previous studies had shown that women found men with pets to have higher potential as partners. They also thought the men holding cats were less extroverted and more neurotic, agreeable and open. Importantly, they saw these men as less masculine, too. [...] Women who self-identified as “cat people” were more inclined to view the men pictured with cats as more dateable or say they had no preference.
The NYT paywall doesn’t didn’t do anything if Javascript is disabled.
EDIT: I’ve noticed recently that NYT articles are cut-off before the end now, even without JavaScript. I wonder if the timing of this paywall upgrade is related to the lawsuit?
No particular reason why we can only have 42 chromosomes
Isn’t having extra chromosomes usually bad? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trisomy
(PS the usual number is 46)
What is an example where two negative numbers multiply to give a negative number?
Since you didn’t specify real numbers, it seems like -i * -i = -1 should fit?
We know roughly how to achieve immortality
Isn’t the assumption that once we successfully align AGI, it can do the work on immortality? So “we” don’t need to know how beyond that.
Do Japan and China have housing shortages? I thought Japan was the canonical “zoning done right” example. And doesn’t China have some sort of over-supply sitatution due to government subsidies?