To pick an uncontroversial example, imagine someone glomerizing in whether the Earth was flat or (approximately) spherical. That would signal that you’re the sort of person who considered a spherical Earth to be a plausible hypothesis, which is almost as bad as actually believing it. All reasonable, right-thinking people, on the other hand, know that it’s obviously flat and wouldn’t even consider such nonsense.
NoSignalNoNoise
Karma: 1,792
Feedback and. . . oops, it’s time to overthrow the organizers
How do you determine where it’s ok for her to go barefoot?
Making Beliefs Pay Rent
[Question] Is there a Schelling point for group house room listings?
Room Available in Boston Group House
I think it’s intentional. He’s saying that reducing the fee from $23k to $230 would be an improvement.
The FDA used to have a long backlog of drug approval applications due to understaffing. This problem was eventually addressed by the Prescription Drug User Fee Act, which established filling fees for drug approvals and a deadline to review new drug applications. The filling fees were a way to make the cost of additional staffing politically palatable, and are much less than the costs of approval delays.
How does this compare to the costs of making (part of) Antarctica habitable?
Do you have any examples (or likely examples) of this happening?
Spicy food. Plants evolved capsaicin production in order to deter mammals from eating them, yet many humans (myself included) like eating plants specifically because they contain capsaicin.
Steelmanning the Devil
This post reads as a call to action (or inaction), but it’s not clear what you’re saying people should do. Can you be more explicit about that?
Normal subcultures don’t have infosec requirements, let alone infosec requirements effective enough for intelligence agencies
This link is broken
Humans Can Be Manually Strategic
How would you recommend shorting long-dated bonds? My understanding is that both short selling and individual bond trading have pretty high fees for retail investors.
Anna: Papa, I have a problem: [explains problem in detail]
Me: Is it a problem you can fix?
Anna: Yes! [Fixes problem]
I need to do a better job of asking myself this question.
An important thing that this analysis leaves out is the uncertainty regarding feedback loops. If e.g. warming causes permafrost to melt and release more greenhouse gasses, there is a possibility of a runaway process that results in catastrophic warming. We don’t know how bad the tail risks are, and an analysis that looks at the median case doesn’t address that issue.
I’d like to know whether deep canvassing actually works.
The assumption that the marginal utility of wealth decreases exponentially doesn’t seem justified to me. Why not some other positive-but-decreasing function, such as
1/W(which yield a logarithmic utility function)?What properties does the utility function need to have for this result to generalize, and are those priorities reasonable to assume?