Milton

[Question] Is fre­quen­tism com­pat­i­ble with the prin­ci­ple of in­differ­ence in any mean­ingful sense?

[Question] Which way should we up­date about un­cer­tain events, over time?

• Milton 23 Jul 2020 11:21 UTC

  3 points

  in reply to: Pattern’s comment on: Math. proof of the su­pe­ri­or­ity of in­de­pen­dent guesses?

  Thanks again!

  I guess what I’m pointing to is that it might be individually rational to update on previous guesses (perhaps this could be called “deliberate anchoring”?), whilst it might not be group rational.

• Milton 21 Jul 2020 9:34 UTC

  1 point

  in reply to: Pattern’s comment on: Math. proof of the su­pe­ri­or­ity of in­de­pen­dent guesses?

  Thanks! And sorry for being such a noob.

  Concerning “anchoring”, do you know where I can go to read more?

• Milton 19 Jul 2020 14:45 UTC

  1 point

  in reply to: Davidmanheim’s comment on: Math. proof of the su­pe­ri­or­ity of in­de­pen­dent guesses?

  Thanks!

[Question] Math. proof of the su­pe­ri­or­ity of in­de­pen­dent guesses?