The seals share the reference class “seals” but are different, notably one is way bigger than the others. So if you wanted to predict something about the big seal, there is a discussion to be had about what to make of the seal reference class, or other possible reference classes e.g. “things that weigh half a ton”
KatjaGrace
Karma: 8,955
Movie posters
Are we so good to simulate?
Deep and obvious points in the gap between your thoughts and your pictures of thought
Parasocial relationship logic
Shaming with and without naming
Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures
I put odds on ends with Nathan Young
A to Z of things
Assuming your preferences don’t involve other people or the world
Not sure about this, but to the extent it was so, often they were right that a lot of things they liked would be gone soon, and that that was sad. (Not necessarily on net, though maybe even on net for them and people like them.)
Seems like there are a lot of possibilities, some of them good, and I have little time to think about them. It just feels like a red flag for everything in your life to be swapped for other things by very powerful processes beyond your control while you are focused on not dying. Like, if lesser changes were upcoming in people’s lives such that they landed in near mode, I think they would be way less sanguine—e.g. being forced to move to New York City.
Fair! I interpret them as probably happy free-range sheep being raised for wool, an existence I’m happy about and in particular prefer to vegetablehood, but a) that seems uncertain, and b) ymmv regarding the value of unfree sheep lives being used as a means to an end etc.