Once you know Bayes, I really don’t understand what rational argument there could be for any position other than “thirder”, if the question is “given you’re awake, what is the probability that the coin came up heads.
Edit: this was actually more appropriate as a response to your previous post
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Once you know Bayes, I really don’t understand what rational argument there could be for any position other than “thirder”, if the question is “given you’re awake, what is the probability that the coin came up heads.