there are so many beautiful things about this post. i have only a smallish idea what you are talking about a good deal of the time, but i can easily understand this: “To form accurate beliefs about something, you really do have to observe it.”
your posts here have helped solidify this for me. this is true, i feel strongly, for all great art, for reliable science, and for joy in living. observation is everything.
this sentence: “One of the chief morals of the mathematical analogy between thermodynamics and cognition is that the constraints of probability are inescapable; probability may be a “subjective state of belief”, but the laws of probability are harder than steel.”
man. this is one of those sentences i’ll be meditating on for a while. god that’s a good one. just simply as a piece of writing, that is nice work. i’m going to put it on a t-shirt or something. maybe a bumper sticker, see how many accidents i can cause on the way home...
hahahahahahahaha
that is AWESOME. your girlfriend rocks.
i think that you’ve built quite an audience here. i wouldn’t normally be curious about a book like that, but in your case i’ll be VERY interested to see what you come up with. i’d think the traffic you guys get here would be a big plus for any publisher, but what do i know? i’m just a guy planning to buy your book.
the blog/blook is great, but i have to admit many times i wish i had it in a more accessible format, like the small “for popular press” kind of book you mention. something i can ruminate over. i’m planning to work through as much as i can and teach my daughter as much as i am able. i think about that almost every time i come here. also, hoping that you definitely include the material on Orwell and Belief in Belief. those two series stand out for me, and probably my all time fave from around that time period, the post you did titled explain/worship/ignore, i have that one bookmarked.