I probably explained badly. You can have 10 yes/no questions and fill half with 7 clicks using this app. It works exactly like the example you gave.
hedges
That’s incorrect if I understood right. Here’s how I use it:
Click reminder notification (or tracker-specific shortcut) to open
Click yes or no (you can have multiple of these in a single tracker)
Click save
So it’s 1 click to begin, 1 click for each choice, 1 click to save. There’s also support for input fields and lists with predefined values.
If you know an app that does this better, I am looking..
Here’s another app https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.zagalaga.keeptrack
No, I don’t think that either organization has taken an official stance, and I respect them for that. I’ve also talked with some people within 80,000 Hours who are clearly not mind-killed; who have been very reasonable and convincing instead. I was maybe a bit too harsh and do not mean this as a recommendation that everyone should stop supporting these organizations.
(Very rarely—that’s a good point. If you imagine people fighting between two different friendly AI approaches with the same fervor, though..)
A statement made by a lifelong liberal writer, who was offended by Trump’s lifestyle. Trump has short attention span, and doesn’t read books—therefore he will use nukes!
Predicting one person’s proclivity to cause nuclear war is an incredibly complicated prediction problem, and one flimsy and tribally motivated statement has almost zero predictive power. If I see a reasonable analysis, which considers both candidates and what kind of scenarios could actually lead to nuclear war; I’m ready to change my beliefs.
In my case, not signaling any caution was enough to make me think that they’re mind-killed. I also understand well what kind of strategies may be more effective in influencing the general public; which is part of the problem. I doubt their behavior and writings convinced anyone who hadn’t already decided.
There were other writings which were much more persuasive, Scott’s writings for example. The people I’m referring to, just spent the last year doing tribal screaming. And they’re still doing it. Freaking out because their foretold doomsday came (and went).
No, of course not. There are many situations where one can be reasonably certain that one political stance is better than another. My feeling of disgust was not caused by them supporting Hillary, but by the fervor and conviction displayed. It felt like at some point they had good reasons to choose a political stance, but then took it to the extreme and forgot all caution.
Claiming Trump as the most significant current existential risk, and prioritizing political activism over all other charity work, are the two that I was most offended by. These were usually not backed by any rigorous analysis or explanation, just the assumption that the reader conforms to the beliefs.
But I think ultimately, it was the frequency and amount of emotion and hostility that was shown that made my mind image these people as mind-killed.
Has anyone else been disgusted by how partisan and mindkilled many “rationality figureheads” have been during this election?
I’ve stopped supporting 80,000 Hours because of their employees’ writings and lost trust in CFAR; I now see them as political think tanks that are possibly even more biased and broken than the average organization.
I’d like this very much in RSS format.
If you make an RSS feed, don’t include any SSC/OB posts, because those already have their own RSS feeds.
In these discussions, I often find myself writing a long text describing my beliefs and why I am not interested in defending or spreading them. At that point, I usually stop writing and start over, like I did now.
I’m willing to label myself as neoreactionary because neoreaction better describes our current society than leftism. In a future world I might look at neoreaction as the most accurate description of a certain time period. Neoreactionary beliefs could be easily rendered irrelevant with transhumanist advances.
The reason I value neoreaction is because it gives me – in my personal life – an edge. This is also the reason why I am not interested in defending or spreading many neoreactionary beliefs.
Beliefs I’ve developed that are common in neoreaction are by far the ones that have contributed the most to my personal happiness.
Although I am likely biased by the location of the gym I go to, the real unpleasant experience for me was admitting that many of the “enemies” are in fact very reasonable and intelligent people.
Which areas of cognitive training do you think would have the best returns in terms of life optimization?
Exercise. Its effects are well studied, and it has been shown to cause improvements in physical and mental health, cognitive performance, and attractiveness.
At what age should you sign up your child for cryonics?
If we imagine mutually assured destruction as if it was a policy option in a strategy game, it would have statistics along the lines of:
-20% chance of nuclear war, +40% nuclear war intensity.
I see. Through counterexamples we can demonstrate anything to be acceptable fashion in certain scenarios.
The puffy shirt is irrelevant (I feel like arguing but let me try and resist that). I found your counterexamples about t-shirts to be stronger evidence, and I did adjust my beliefs. I can offer you no good evidence on how people on average perceive t-shirts with slogans on them.
Religion was an example, coming from the general category of social subgroups that carry a large impact on identity and create a sense of exclusivity, which also includes every group you described.
I would rather not see rationality marginalized into such categories, in anyone’s mind.
Special Pleading Objection?
Sorry, I don’t understand what you mean by this. The meaning of my post was that high status folk set the trends, and have an easier time introducing new fashions to the society at large. This was in relation to your (valid) point that “how and when” you wear clothes matters.
Or if you are attending a Hacker News meetup, or a software development conference, or an event taking place at a university, or… I’ll stop there: I am predicting (and happily committing to update if I turn out to be wrong) that in these venues, wearing a witty t-shirt will a) score points and b) optimise for striking up conversations with strangers.
Sounds sensible. Dressing in clothes that signal your geekiness (meaning here the demographic you describe) is probably a safe bet in such a crowd.
I don’t understand. It seems to me that it would be very easy to make rationality seem like a (religious) cult. Wearing dorky clothes, knocking on people’s doors to spread the joy, and handing out pamphlets praising our savior Rationality. We could even send volunteers to beg for money at airports: “Hello sir, would you like to help prevent the coming end of the world?”
Yes.
I recommend the app warmly, but at the same time I’d be happy to switch if something with better design or features came up. I haven’t found anything as good yet.