I also think that compared with other AIs, LLMs may have more potential for being raised friendly and collaborative, as we can interact with them the way we do with humans, reusing known recipes. Compared with other forms of extremely large neural nets and machine learning, they are more transparent and accessible. Of all the routes to AGI we could take, I think this might be one of the better ones.
This is an illusion. We are prone to anthropomorphise chatbots. Under the hood they are completely alien. Lovecraftian monsters, only made of tons of inscrutable linear algebra. We are facing a digital alien invasion, that will ultimately move at speeds we can’t begin to keep up with.
This, but x1000 to what you are thinking. I don’t think we have any realistic chance of approximate parity between the first and second movers. The speed that the first mover will be thinking makes this so. Say GPT-6 is smarter at everything, even by a little bit, compared to everything else on the planet (humans, other AIs). It’s copied itself 1000 times, and each copy is thinking 10,000,000 times faster than a human. We will essentially be like rocks to it, operating on geological time periods. It can work out how to disassemble our environment (including an unfathomable number of contingencies against counter strike) over subjective decades or centuries of human-equivalent thinking time before your sentinal AI protectors even pick up it’s activity.