So what’s the proper prior probability that the person I’m arguing with is a Bayesian? That would seem to be a necessary piece of information for a Bayesian to figure out how much to follow the Modesty Argument.
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So what’s the proper prior probability that the person I’m arguing with is a Bayesian? That would seem to be a necessary piece of information for a Bayesian to figure out how much to follow the Modesty Argument.