I surveyed some participants about their preferences. I believe this is nine generals plus a petrov (second from bottom).
9 people prefer peace; 1 deranged person says “peace = mutual destruction” and “I was kinda hoping the other side would launch the nukes”; fortunately we survived them.
If one side had admitted to launching nukes, it looks like at least one person on the other side would have favored retaliating; unclear whether they’d get a majority (and unclear whether they’d launch without a majority).
I agree with the long note. I think anonymity is ~necessary to get decent P(defection) from a small group of high-karma users. But there are issues with that and the ritual is fine with low P(destruction).
I surveyed some participants about their preferences. I believe this is nine generals plus a petrov (second from bottom).
9 people prefer peace; 1 deranged person says “peace = mutual destruction” and “I was kinda hoping the other side would launch the nukes”; fortunately we survived them.
If one side had admitted to launching nukes, it looks like at least one person on the other side would have favored retaliating; unclear whether they’d get a majority (and unclear whether they’d launch without a majority).
I agree with the long note. I think anonymity is ~necessary to get decent P(defection) from a small group of high-karma users. But there are issues with that and the ritual is fine with low P(destruction).