GdL752

Karma: 26

GdL752 May 8, 2023, 5:32 PM
1 point
−2
in reply to: Seth Herd’s comment on: TED talk by Eliezer Yudkowsky: Unleashing the Power of Artificial Intelligence
It seems to me like AGI risk needs a “zeitgeist addendum” / “venus project” style movie for the masses. Open up the overton window and touch on things like mesa optimization without boring the average person to death.

The /r/controlproblem faq is the most succinct summary i’ve seen but I couldn’t get the majority of average folks to read that if I tried and it would still go over their heads.

GdL752 May 5, 2023, 3:59 AM
1 point
−1
in reply to: Chris_Leong’s comment on: Google “We Have No Moat, And Neither Does OpenAI”
Except “aligned” AI (or at least corrugibility) benefits folks who are doing even shady things (say trying to scam people)

So any gains in those areas that are easily implemented will be widely spread and quickly.

And altruistic individuals already use their own compute and GPU for things like seti@home (if youre old enough to remember) and to protein folding projects for medical research. Those same people will become aware of AI safety and do the same and maybe more.

The cats out of the bag , you can’t “regulate” AI use at home , I can run models on a smartphone.

What we can do is try and steer things toward a beneficial nash equilibrium.

GdL752 May 5, 2023, 3:50 AM
4 points
0
on: Google “We Have No Moat, And Neither Does OpenAI”
Aren’t a lot of the doomy scenarios predicated on a single monolithic AI though? (Or multipolar AI that all agree to work togrther for naughtiness for some reason)

A bunch of them being tinkered on by lots of people seems like an easier path to alignment and as a failsafe in terms of power distribution.

You have lots of smaller scale dangers introduced but they certaintly dont seem to me to rise to the level of x or s risk in the near term.

What have we had thus far? A bunch of think tanks using deductive reasoning with no access to good models and a few monoliths with all the access. Seems to me that having the capability to actually run experiments at a community level will neccesarily boost efforts on alignment and value loading more than it assists actual AGI being born.

GdL752 Apr 17, 2023, 11:44 PM
3 points
0
in reply to: avturchin’s comment on: Top lesson from GPT: we will probably destroy humanity “for the lulz” as soon as we are able.
This seems like the most obvious short term scenario that will occur. We have doomsday cults right now today.

Counterpoint , the once a century pandemic happened before now. So we can make vaccines much faster thsn ever thought possible but given the...material...timeline and all the factors for virility and debility / lethality at play with bioweapons i’m not sure thats much comfort.

It seems like the kind of thing where we’ll almost assuredly be reacting to such an event vs whatever guardrails can be put in place.

GdL752 Jul 27, 2020, 6:45 PM
−1 points
in reply to: ChristianKl’s comment on: Are we in an AI overhang?
Well they already have an industry for behavioral / intent marketing—this could make it a lot better. SO taking data and using it to find correlates to a behavior in the buying process and monetizing that. We have IoT taking off, imagine a scenario where we have so much data being fed to a machine learning algorithm driven by this that we could type into a console “what behaviors predict that someone will buy a home in the next 3 months?” , now imagine that its answer is pretty predictive, how much is that worth to a real estate agent?
Now apply it to literally any purchase behavior where the profit margin allows for the use of this technology (obviously more difficult in places with different data privacy laws) , the machine learning algo could know you want a new pink sweater before its even occurred to you with whatever level of accuracy.
As far as creative work i’d be real curious to see how it handles comedy, throw it in a writing room for script punchup (and that’s only until it can completely write the scripts) - punchup is where they hire comedians and comedy writers to sit around and add jokes to movies or tv shows.
I also see a lot of use as far as making law accessible because it could conceivably parse through huge amounts of law and legal theory (I know it can’t reason but, even just using its current model—bare with me) and spit out fairly coherent answers for layman (maybe as a free search engine profitable via ads for lawyers)
If we do see the imagined improvements by just giving it more computronium we may be staring down the advent of a volitionless “almost oracle”
I’m really excited to see what happens when you give it enough GPU’s and train it on physics models.