I confronted some research claiming that senses of agents evolved under fitness pressure systematically diverges from reality, but in the abstract they state that the standard consensus between cognitive and perceptual scientists is the other way.
In any way, I think the answer to this question is not trivial, and the idea of using a mathematical model in which there’s a universe with fixed set of laws and evolving agents to explore the possibilities seems appealing to me.
Knowing (or assuming) that the value of p does not change between experiments is a different kind of knowledge than knowing the value of p.