ethanmorse

• ethanmorse 11 Sep 2024 23:40 UTC

  0 points

  −6

  in reply to: titotal’s comment on: AI fore­cast­ing bots incoming

  Is this necessarily true? Say there is tighter nuclear regulation being enacted in 2031, or nuclear material will run out in the 2030s, or it expects peace to happen in the 2030s? Would these situations not reduce the likelihood of Iran having a nuke? I would expect with all things being equal the likelihood going up over time, but external events may cause them to decrease more than they increase.

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• ethanmorse 7 Nov 2022 1:52 UTC

  8 points

  1

  on: All AGI Safety ques­tions wel­come (es­pe­cially ba­sic ones) [~monthly thread]

  What does “solving alignment” actually look like? How will we know when it’s been solved (if that’s even possible)?

• ethanmorse 16 Oct 2022 22:15 UTC

  5 points

  0

  in reply to: RomanS’s comment on: Toni Kurz and the In­san­ity of Climb­ing Mountains

  I’m starting to think you’re trolling.

  • Views and challenges are unique for each mountain, hence not banal by definition.

  • How do you define greatness? Would climbing something that no one else has ever climbed before, despite being attempted multiple times by professionals, fall under your definition?

  • I find your “still decide to waste resources” argument poor. Where does the logic end? Should people have zero fun and live like beggars just to donate every last cent to fighting malaria? Why are you commenting on LessWrong when you could be out doing something altruistic?

• ethanmorse 15 Oct 2022 16:43 UTC

  2 points

  1

  in reply to: RomanS’s comment on: Toni Kurz and the In­san­ity of Climb­ing Mountains

  I suspect you don’t know much about mountaineering based on your comments:

  • “Mountaineering is a rather banal adventure”—have you ever climbed a mountain? If so, how dangerous was it? I doubt those that have climbed K2 consider it banal.

  • “zero greatness in mountaineering”—there are still unclimbed peaks and new routes to already-summited peaks.

  • “noble and altruistic ways to risk your life”—some people don’t care about nobility or altruism the way LW users do.

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• ethanmorse 7 Jun 2022 11:24 UTC

  2 points

  in reply to: sereinesky’s comment on: Where to Live for Happiness

  See the third paragraph of the “Proximity” section.

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