You are going to be freezing a lot of other microorganisms in your sample. Some of them could be harmful when introduced to nasal cavity at the wrong time.
cistrane
Karma: 89
At the end of 2020, the CDC estimated ~85 million infections. There were however only 32 million cases at that time. A large fraction of the difference would be asymptomatic.
The point is, it might not matter what we do with omicron, the next VOC can still come out of some animal viral pool from a virus variant we know nothing about
In your counterfactual example, we would have a much better warning coming from the third world. They would be hit much harder by the virus that affects the young disproportionately. We would literally see on TV millions of dead children in Third World countries perhaps even before the virus established a strong foothold. The beginning of the pandemic would look completely different. Isolating small children from any ways of getting in contact with the virus would become the highest priority until vaccines were developed. More different treatments would be tried. Small children would become treated as immune compromised bubble boys. They would be living in a bubble.
Does this mean that it is too late to vaccinate now or that the deadline for an unvaccinated to vaccinate is rapidly approaching?
I am not answering the question but what do you think of this?
Should Pfizer now or in the future be able to collect a 500% premium on these vaccines?
Vaccinated people are also at risk from other vaccinated people. If vaccinated people are careless and engage in many high risk activities in the enclosed environment, the advantages of vaccination will be reduced.
Well, if this is consistently applied across many events, the unvaccinated will not be allowed risky activities and the vaccinated will be allowed risky activities. Which means in practice consistently higher number of risky activities available for the vaccinated. I agree that this effect might not be significantly big and more measurements would be needed.
When you wear it for a day. For longer periods one also needs to be trained to take care of the PPE. Cleaning, storage, retc.
Half the population have IQ less than 100. You are going to set up training stations or the PPE will fail soon for a large percentage of population.
I don’t understand why vaccinated people should prefer not being close to unvaccinated people.
More effective PPE require more training in their use.
But effectively, the unvaccinated were not allowed to have the same level of risk as vaccinated if they couldn’t come to the event, right?
Would you expect a fairly large noticeable nocebo effect in populations which are scared by vaccination but forced into it by government or employer vaccine mandates?
Consider that in March it is much more likely that Paxlovid will be widely available than in February.
Can anyone help me make sense of this paper?
If you are vaccinated, disregard any advantage microcovid gives to vaccination status. Then adjust all microcovid estimates upward by about 50%. This should give you a risk estimate consistant with new omicron data.
“Half the people who aren’t vaccinated have sufficiently strong priors against doing anything new that they’re having none of it, it all sounds super suspicious to them, and you’re not going to tell them different. The alternative hypothesis, which I find less plausible, is that the political divide carries over to everything else automatically at this point, which is functionally the same but has some different implications.”
Could a significant number of people refusing both vaccines and Paxlovid be biased against Pfizer?
How long is that long term? We don’t know yet but it could be fairly short compared to a condition that can permanently damage one’s heart.
That depends on age and comorbidities. That probability is highly stratified. There are some population where P(hospitalized|covid) is >5%
How do you assign probability that a child will develop complications from the vaccine, they will be permanent but not lethal. E.g. The child will be sterile.