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ChristianWilliams

Karma: 302

Fore­cast 2025 With Vox’s Fu­ture Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool

ChristianWilliams20 Dec 2024 23:00 UTC
19 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Fore­cast With GiveWell

ChristianWilliams11 Dec 2024 17:52 UTC
11 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Pre­dic­tions as Public Works Pro­ject — What Me­tac­u­lus Is Build­ing Next

ChristianWilliams22 Oct 2024 16:35 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Can AI Out­pre­dict Hu­mans? Re­sults From Me­tac­u­lus’s Q3 AI Fore­cast­ing Benchmark

ChristianWilliams10 Oct 2024 18:58 UTC
50 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus Is Open Source

ChristianWilliams7 Oct 2024 19:55 UTC
13 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Com­par­ing Fore­cast­ing Track Records for AI Bench­mark­ing and Beyond

ChristianWilliams25 Sep 2024 21:01 UTC
11 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus’s ‘Mini­tac­u­lus’ Ex­per­i­ments — Col­lab­o­rate With Us

ChristianWilliams26 Aug 2024 20:44 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Launch­ing the Re­s­pi­ra­tory Out­look 2024/​25 Fore­cast­ing Series

ChristianWilliams17 Jul 2024 19:51 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Launch­ing the AI Fore­cast­ing Bench­mark Series Q3 | $30k in Prizes

ChristianWilliams8 Jul 2024 17:20 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

An­nounc­ing the AI Fore­cast­ing Bench­mark Series | July 8, $120k in Prizes

ChristianWilliams2 Jul 2024 22:33 UTC
15 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Open Sourc­ing Metaculus

ChristianWilliams2 Jul 2024 22:30 UTC
44 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus Hosts ACX 2024 Pre­dic­tion Contest

ChristianWilliams1 Jan 2024 16:38 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus In­tro­duces Mul­ti­ple Choice Questions

ChristianWilliams20 Dec 2023 19:00 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus Launches Chi­nese AI Chips Tour­na­ment, Sup­port­ing In­sti­tute for AI Policy and Strat­egy Research

ChristianWilliams6 Dec 2023 11:26 UTC
10 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus In­tro­duces New Fore­cast Scores, New Leader­board & Medals

ChristianWilliams20 Nov 2023 20:33 UTC
15 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus In­tro­duces AI-Pow­ered Com­mu­nity In­sights to Re­veal Fac­tors Driv­ing User Forecasts

ChristianWilliams10 Nov 2023 17:57 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus’s New Side­bar Helps You Find Fore­casts Faster

ChristianWilliams8 Nov 2023 20:56 UTC
15 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus Launches Con­di­tional Cup to Ex­plore Linked Forecasts

ChristianWilliams18 Oct 2023 20:41 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus An­nounces Fore­cast­ing Tour­na­ment to Eval­u­ate Fo­cused Re­search Or­ga­ni­za­tions, in Part­ner­ship With the Fed­er­a­tion of Amer­i­can Scien­tists

ChristianWilliams3 Oct 2023 16:44 UTC
13 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus Launches 2023/​2024 FluSight Challenge Sup­port­ing CDC, $5K in Prizes

ChristianWilliams27 Sep 2023 21:35 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)