Launching the Respiratory Outlook 2024/​25 Forecasting Series

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Returning for its second year, Metaculus’s Respiratory Outlook for 202425 aims to support and inform US public health officials in anticipating the burden of influenza, COVID-19, and RSV this upcoming fall and winter. You can contribute to these efforts by sharing your predictions on important questions about peak hospitalization rates, vaccination coverage, and the risk from threats such as measles and avian influenza.

We will deliver aggregate forecasts and rationales to public health officials to aid preparedness efforts. You can contribute by forecasting and sharing your reasoning in the Respiratory Outlook 202425.

Series questions below. Note that the Community Prediction will initially be hidden:

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