I have a delightful idea for the Paranoid estimation game, and I have a scenario picked out. This should be fun. :3
Bayeslisk
Karma: 280
So I did! Edited.
This seems interesting and I might contribute.
You don’t really need to figure out who the Right Thinking People are. You just need to figure out who the Horrendously Completely Almost-Unassailably Wrong Thinking People are.
Sorry for the necromancy—I’d call Guess cultures Hint, Subtle, or Infer/Imply/Implicit cultures, and Ask cultures Blurt, Overt, or Explicit cultures, for the full range of connotation.
From field experience as a Korean-American and thus someone closer in many situations to Ask, (or even TELL!) I have found a lot of success on just pretending to be endearingly forthright: making a big show of asking all the other people whether they want the last dumpling a couple of times, asking whether they’re sure, etc. The fact that my uncle, my mother, and I are similar in this and that they will often take me up on this to split/outright take the dumpling, showing clearly that I am, indeed, serious about my ask, helps too.
I know that. I was commenting that the LWer was apparently not a Communist as one might expect, which I found slightly funny.
Yes, and this was why I did not include them.
I agree. This was clearly the object of furious guessing and second-guessing. :V
I don’t know if this is the LW hug or something but I’m having trouble downloading the xls. Also, will update with what the crap my passphrase actually means, because it’s in Lojban and mildly entertaining IIRC.
EDIT: Felt like looking at some other entertaining passphrases. Included with comment.
sruta’ulor maftitnab {mine! scarf-fox magic-cakes!(probably that kind)}
Afgani-san Azerbai-chan {there… are no words}
do mlatu {a fellow lojbanist!}
lalxu daplu {and another?}
telephone fonxa {and another! please get in contact with me. please.}
xagfu’a rodo {indeed! but where are all you people coming from, and why don’t I know you?}
zifre dunda {OH COME ON WHERE ARE YOU PEOPLE]
eponymous haha_nice_try_CHEATER {clever.}
fart butt {I am twelve...}
FROGPENIS SPOOBOMB {… and so is a lot of LW.}
goat felching {good heavens}
I don’t want the prize! Pick someone else please!
I dont care about the MONETARY REWARD but you shoudl know that
Irefuse myprize
No thanks
not interested
{a lot of refusers!}
I’m gay
john lampkin (note: this is not my name)
lookatme iwonmoney {nice try guy}
mencius suckedmoziwasbetter
mimsy borogoves {repeated!}
TWO WORD {repeated, and try harder next time}
octothorpe interrobang
SOYUZ NERUSHIMIY {ONWARD, COMRADE(note: person is apparently a social democrat.)}
TERRORISTS WIN
thisissuspiciouslylike askingforourpasswordmethodologies {I should think not.}
zoodlybop zimzamzoom {OH MY GODS BILL COSBY IS A LESSWRONGER.}
AND THAT’S ALL, FOLKS.
This seems like a really good idea, except that defecting is easy and appealing, Guess people will (as you pointed out) lose their shit, and worst of all, people just seem to get weirded out by the making explicit of things like actually understanding other people, or honestly talking about the full set of preferences—especially socially awkward ones. That said, I’d like to be able to do this with people.
This seems interesting and mostly correct. I will think about this more and write something about it when I have thought enough.
No, I know that the colon is not transplanted; the flora is. Hence the (?). Also, it hopefully doesn’t get processed but rather survives to colonize the gut. Further, an enema would probably be far more effective, given its lack of strong acid and pepsin designed to kill the flora.
Good point. I doubt that that extends to abandoning food altogether, though.
Oh, makes sense. That’s not food, though; that’s a very easy organ(?) transplant.
What are fecal implents?
Few people do, and I doubt that it will catch on; spirulina can also be grown on runoff fertilizer, which will probably sound more appealing to most people.
Absent mass mind uploading, I doubt that food in some relatively recognizable form will ever die out, or that we will ever find it economically feasible to eat food known to be made from human waste. Sunlight and feedstock are cheap, people get squicked easily, and stuff that’s stuck around for a long time is likely to continue sticking around. You may as well say we’ll outgrow a need for fire, language, or tools; indeed, I’d believe any of those over the total abandonment of food.
That’s something a little different—I think that’s already talked about here. Maybe under the Hindsight Bias? At any rate, I’m not talking about looking back; I’m talking about looking from within. The march of history is almost always too slow to see, and even with a significant speedup it’d still probably seem “normal”. Only right at the end would it be clear that a Singularity is occurring.
But these are not, seemingly, as different as, say, the discovery of LSD. Or psychotropics. Or the establishment of homosexuality as relatively innate. Or the invention of the car, or the very first creation of a constructed language.
Also, my instinct for a scoring rule is min(estimation/true, true/estimation) for a scale of [0, 1].