It’s worth noting the mathematically fairly simple and obvious but intuitively annoying fact that if you’ve tried the 10% chance 9 times with no success, you do not have a 63% chance of succeeding on your next attempt.
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It’s worth noting the mathematically fairly simple and obvious but intuitively annoying fact that if you’ve tried the 10% chance 9 times with no success, you do not have a 63% chance of succeeding on your next attempt.