It’s worth noting the mathematically fairly simple and obvious but intuitively annoying fact that if you’ve tried the 10% chance 9 times with no success, you do not have a 63% chance of succeeding on your next attempt.
It’s worth noting the mathematically fairly simple and obvious but intuitively annoying fact that if you’ve tried the 10% chance 9 times with no success, you do not have a 63% chance of succeeding on your next attempt.